EVENT NAME The Importance of Timely Analyses for Decision-Making during a Crisis EVENT DATE: WEDNESDAY, 27 JULY 2022 ----------------------------------------------- EVENT CHAT [2022-07-27 09:32:46] [Debebe Gashawbeza] Hello everyone! This is Debebe Gashawbeza from Ethiopia πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ή. [2022-07-27 09:33:05] [Willingthon Pavan] Hello! This is Willingthon Pavan from IFDC - Alabama/USA. [2022-07-27 09:33:17] [Rinette Soeropawiro ] Good morning from Suriname, South America. My name is Rinette Soeropawiro [2022-07-27 09:33:18] [Amanda Saville] Hi everyone, Amanda Saville from Palladium. Based in DC [2022-07-27 09:33:18] [MD. Masudul Hassan ] Hello, This Is Md. Masudul Hassan, [2022-07-27 09:33:20] [Christina Zola Peck] Hi, Christina Zola Peck from IFDC, Washington DC [2022-07-27 09:33:22] [James Hansen] Hello everyone. Jim Hansen, International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), Columbia University, New York. [2022-07-27 09:33:24] [Esrael Woldeeyesus ] Hi! This is Esrael Woldeeyesus from Ethiopia. Headlight Consulting Services. [2022-07-27 09:33:25] [martin fowler] Martin Fowler, USAID Uganda [2022-07-27 09:33:25] [MD. Masudul Hassan ] From Bangladesh [2022-07-27 09:33:27] [NANA ADWOA KONADU] Hello everyone. I am Nana Adwoa konadu from USAID/METSS,Ghana [2022-07-27 09:33:30] [Mark Freudenberger] Mark Freudenberger, Tetra Tech ARD - Boston, MA [2022-07-27 09:33:36] [Mohamed Osman Abdulkadir] Mohamed shoky from Raagsan Consulting, Somalia [2022-07-27 09:33:38] [Maneka] Good evening all, Maneka Gurung, USAID/Nepal [2022-07-27 09:33:41] [Denise van Wissen] Hello! Denise van Wissen, Consultant in Nicaragua. Saludos! [2022-07-27 09:33:41] [James Thigpen] Hi everyone. James Thigpen from IFDC, Muscle Shoals AL [2022-07-27 09:33:42] [Setegn Gebeyehu] Hello everyone. Setegn Gebeyehu from CIP Ethiopia, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia [2022-07-27 09:33:44] [Lamia Shendi] Lamia Shendi /USAID /Sudan [2022-07-27 09:33:44] [Richard Samuel Ansu] Good afternoon from here in Ghana.. [2022-07-27 09:33:46] [Karyn Fox] Karyn Fox, TANGO, USA [2022-07-27 09:33:48] [GAVI ESERUOMA] Hello, Eseruoma Gavi from AVO Health Limited, Nigeria [2022-07-27 09:33:48] [Tom Spangler] Tom Spangler - Save the Children US [2022-07-27 09:33:51] [Nay Myo] Good evening to everyone. I am Nay Myo from UNOPS LIFT, Myanmar. [2022-07-27 09:33:52] [Claude Nankam] Hello all. Claude Nankam from Food for the Hungry in Washington DC [2022-07-27 09:33:56] [Ibnou Ndiame] Hi, Ibnou Ndiame from Dakar-Senegal. [2022-07-27 09:33:57] [MD. Masudul Hassan ] Hello, This Is Md. Masudul Hassan, From Bangladesh [2022-07-27 09:33:58] [Sharon Ndandula] Hi, Sharon Ndandula from Zambia [2022-07-27 09:34:04] [Funsani William ] Hi everyone. Funsani William from Zambia [2022-07-27 09:34:08] [Oni Timothy Olukunle] Hello Everyone. i am Oni Timothy from NISER, Nigeria. [2022-07-27 09:34:09] [Karen Romano] Karen Romano, Save the Children US, Washington DC [2022-07-27 09:34:10] [Maarten Froeling] Hi everyone! Maarten Froeling, Mathematica, Washington DC [2022-07-27 09:34:19] [Philip Steffen] Philip Steffen, USAID Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET), Washington, DC [2022-07-27 09:34:24] [Trevor Hayes] Trevor Hayes, American Institutes for Research, Washington DC [2022-07-27 09:34:24] [Urgaya Balcha] Hello Everyone, I am Urgaya Balcha from Ethiopia! [2022-07-27 09:34:26] [Yomif Worku] Hello! This is Yomif Worku (yomsamhw@gmail.com) from Ethiopia. DRM specialist-Headlight Consulting/USAID [2022-07-27 09:34:29] [Patrick Ward] Good morning. I'm connecting from University of Florida and IFPRI [2022-07-27 09:34:31] [Frank Riely] Frank Riely, TANGO International, IDEAL Activity [2022-07-27 09:34:33] [Benjamin Kohl] Benjamin E. Kohl, Ph.D. Program Administrator Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Collaborative Research on Sorghum and Millet (SMIL) Kansas State University USA - Manhattan, Kansas WhatsApp: +1 785 341 9842 Email: benkohl@k-state.edu Email: smilnews@k-state.edu Website: https://smil.k-state.edu LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/benkohl LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/sorghummillet Twitter: https://twitter.com/sorg_millet_lab [2022-07-27 09:34:40] [Sinath Lorm] Good everyone! Greetings from Cambodia. This is me Sinath. [2022-07-27 09:34:41] [Achikule Alex Azaria Yensuk] Hi everyone. Achikule Alex, Integrity Global from South Sudan [2022-07-27 09:34:42] [Mara Russell] Mara Russell, CARE Director Food Security and Resilience [2022-07-27 09:34:45] [Saidu Oseni] Hello all. My name is Prof Saidu Oseni, IREX Fellow, OAU, Ile-Ife, Nigeria [2022-07-27 09:34:46] [Arouna Dissa] Arouna Dissa, research at Institut Economie Rurale, Mali [2022-07-27 09:34:55] [Nebiyu Waliyi Tekesa] Hello every one. I am Nebiyu Waliyi, Arba Minch University, Ethiopia [2022-07-27 09:34:56] [Anwar Mohmmed Alsharif ] Hi Am Anwar .from welthungerhilfe Sudan [2022-07-27 09:34:57] [Tsitsi Makombe] Hello everyone, Tsitsi Makombe with AKADEMIYA2063 [2022-07-27 09:34:57] [Hannah Ichingwa] Hallo everyone, Im Hannah Ichingwa of Western Stone Enterprise, Kakamega ,Kenya. [2022-07-27 09:35:11] [Joshua Kyller] Hello, Josh Kyller, Catholic Relief Services, Latin American and the Caribbean, Regional Technical Advisor for Resilience, Food Security and DRR [2022-07-27 09:35:14] [Glauco Mariano Teixeira ] Hello Everyone, I'm Glauco Teixeira from International Fertilizer Development Center - IFDC. [2022-07-27 09:35:19] [Brittany Eriksson] Hello! Brittany Eriksson from Root Capital. [2022-07-27 09:35:22] [Miguel Cabal] Hi, Miguel Cabal, consultan Wolking in LAC, Connecting from Toronto Canada [2022-07-27 09:35:41] [Mbaye Yade] Hello everyone, I am Mbaye Yade, AKADEMIYA2063 [2022-07-27 09:35:48] [Kanchi Desai] Hi everyone, this is Kanchi Desai from the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia [2022-07-27 09:36:13] [Melchizedek Nyakundi Mokaya] Hallo Everyone. I am Melchizedek Nyakundi Mokaya, Working with Living With Peace Kenya. Joining from Machakos Kenya. [2022-07-27 09:36:16] [Narayan joshi] Hi from sankalpa Nepal [2022-07-27 09:36:37] [Emmanuel Onyango] Hello I'm Emmanuel Onyango, Corporate Affairs Manager at Asili Farms, in Uganda, East Africa [2022-07-27 09:36:49] [naudin] HI Everyobe, I am Alejandro from UFPSO Catatumbo, Colombia [2022-07-27 09:36:54] [Hallie Boyce] Hello everyone - Hallie Boyce from Root Capital [2022-07-27 09:37:11] [Issaka OUMAROU] Hi everyoe; i am Issaka OUMAROU, from Sahel Coaboration and Communication Project -Niger [2022-07-27 09:37:20] [Godsway Asamoah ] Greetings Everyone, This is Godsway Asamoah from the West Africa Centre for Crop Improvement, University of Ghana. [2022-07-27 09:37:26] [David Parker] Hi from David Parker [2022-07-27 09:37:42] [Grace Gitu] Hello everyone, Grace Gitu, Agricultural Expert, AFNEED Kenya [2022-07-27 09:38:11] [Elizabeth Guertal] Good Morning - Beth Guertal, SIIL Kansas State and also Auburn University (AL) [2022-07-27 09:38:32] [Romaric Armel Mouafo Tchinda] Hi everyone, I'm Romaric Armel Mouafo Tchinda from University of Florida [2022-07-27 09:38:34] [Njogu Timothy kagombe ] Hi Everyone Timothy Njogu kagombe from Kenya [2022-07-27 09:38:36] [carol njama] hello carol njama from TREES [2022-07-27 09:38:40] [Boame Nusienyo Yao Charles ] Hello everyone, Charles Boame Institute of Rural development and sustainable economy, MATE. Hungary. [2022-07-27 09:39:18] [Reshmi Sarkar] Hello everyone [2022-07-27 09:39:34] [Michael Saltz] Thank you for joining, everyone! Reminder to direct your questions to the Q&A box. [2022-07-27 09:39:39] [Dr. Berhanu Lemma Robe] Hi I am Dr. Berhanu Lemma from Ethiopia, Arba Minch University particularly from College of Agricultural Sciences (Dean) [2022-07-27 09:40:08] [Waswa Rose Malot] Hello! I'm Waswa Rose Malot, Remote Sensing Analyst at RCMRD [2022-07-27 09:40:35] [Narayan joshi] Thank you [2022-07-27 09:40:40] [Mulugeta Demiss Belew] Hello everyone. Mulugeta Belew from IFDC. [2022-07-27 09:41:02] [Catherine Kaingu] hello everyone. Catherine from University of Nairobi [2022-07-27 09:41:34] [Dr. Berhanu Lemma Robe] price of fertilizer is higher and higher here [2022-07-27 09:41:35] [Shahena Parvin] Hello, Everyone, I am Shahena from Bangladesh, Solidaridad Network Asia [2022-07-27 09:42:19] [Soma Kumari Rana] Helly everyone, Soma Rana from iDE, Nepal [2022-07-27 09:42:44] [Alejandro Valencia] A REMINDER: please send us your questions for the speakers. We will try to get to all of them during the Q&A Session [2022-07-27 09:43:31] [Mudassar Yasin] Hello, everyone, I am Mudassar Yasin from Pakistan [2022-07-27 09:43:32] [Sani Ibrahim] Good day, everyone, Ibrahim Sani from Kebbi State University of Science and Technology, Aliero, Nigeria. [2022-07-27 09:44:32] [Amal Abdulmutalib Ibrahim] HI everyone this is , Amal Abdulmutalib Ibrahim, MEAL manger from SCI , Sudan [2022-07-27 09:45:27] [Melchizedek Nyakundi Mokaya] Just a question. Will the presentation be shared? [2022-07-27 09:45:34] [Theresa Okpa] Hello everyone, Theresa Okpa from Feed the Future Nigeria Agribusiness Investment Activity [2022-07-27 09:46:01] [Melchizedek Nyakundi Mokaya] Just a quick question. Will the presentation be shared? [2022-07-27 09:46:39] [Alejandro Valencia] Melchizedek, resources will be shared after the webinar [2022-07-27 09:46:46] [Michael Saltz] yes we will share the slides in a post-event email [2022-07-27 09:47:33] [Julius Caesar Ssemyalo ] Hi, Julius Caesar Ssemyalo, from Uganda [2022-07-27 09:47:45] [Mulugeta Tefera] I'm from Ethiopia. Indeed small farmers are complaining a lot about the rise of fertilizer price. So what would the short term solution? [2022-07-27 09:48:12] [Michael Saltz] Hi Mulugeta. Please post your question in the Q&A box. Thanks! [2022-07-27 09:48:20] [Gonzaga Luis Madroba ] HI every one. Gonzaga From Mozambique [2022-07-27 09:49:02] [John M. Ulimwengu] 1. Compared to the 2008-2009 crisis, what would be your assessment of the system’s capacity to absorb the current crisis? 2. Obviously, the three prices are not independent, how are you accounting for possible spillover of the effect of one to the other? [2022-07-27 09:49:05] [Sylvia David Kachola] Hello everyone, Sylvia Kachola from Makoka and Associates consulting firm from Malawi [2022-07-27 09:50:00] [Michael Saltz] IFPRI reports: https://www.agrilinks.org/activities/ifpri-analyses-country-level-impacts-high-food-fuel-and-fertilizer-prices [2022-07-27 09:50:09] [Richard Samuel Ansu] Thank you Mr. James [2022-07-27 09:50:37] [Bai-Bureh O'Bai Kamara ] Hello I'm Bai-Bureh O'Bai Kamara from Sierra Leone Agricultural Research Institute (SLARI) [2022-07-27 09:50:39] [Jenny Smart] Also, the IFPRI Policy Seminar James just referred to will be August 31 from 9:30-11am. Stay tuned! (-Jenny Smart from the IFPRI Modeling Team, based in DC) [2022-07-27 09:50:55] [Rosemary Okoh ] I can't hear. There is no audio [2022-07-27 09:51:30] [Eugenia Saini] Greetings from FONTAGRO (The Regional Fund for Agricultural Technology). [2022-07-27 09:53:09] [James Thurlow] @Mulugeta: One short-term solution is to subsidize fertilizer prices, although that may not overcome the problem of there being too few fertilizers to meet demand, esp. at subsidized prices. So the medium-term solution may be to help farmers improve their efficiency of fertilizer use (to avoid food production losses). Key question is how long it will take to convey information to farmers on improved farming/fertilizer practices. [2022-07-27 09:55:58] [James Thurlow] @John: One your second question: That's a very good point - changes in world prices interact across and within supply chains. Fuel prices for example affect the price of transport (and trade) and this pushes up prices across the board, adding the price increases that we're observing for food and fertilizers. Our models help us understand these complex relationships, by tracking all value chains at the same time. [2022-07-27 09:56:28] [NANA ADWOA KONADU] @James.Apart from the key variables you presented,Do you have other variables with respect to the countries concerned [2022-07-27 09:56:47] [Olawunmi Ilesanmi] Hello everyone. Greetings from the Borlaug Institute for International Agriculture and Development, Texas A&M University. [2022-07-27 09:59:50] [James Thurlow] @Nana: Yes. In the country-specific briefs (available on the IFPRI and Agrilinks websites) you can find reported impacts on GDP and employment (national, sectoral and agri-food system-wide), plus changes in household welfare (consumption) across the income distribution (incl. nonpoor), and poverty, hunger and diets for rural/urban areas. [2022-07-27 10:00:14] [Shahena Parvin] Can we get this PPT? [2022-07-27 10:00:30] [Michael Saltz] You can find those Country-Level reports here: https://www.agrilinks.org/activities/ifpri-analyses-country-level-impacts-high-food-fuel-and-fertilizer-prices [2022-07-27 10:00:42] [Dr. Berhanu Lemma Robe] what do you mean rising rates con.. in UG and Se past 20204? I hope it is error [2022-07-27 10:00:46] [Michael Saltz] @Shahena yes, we will share the slides in a post-event email [2022-07-27 10:01:37] [Dr. Berhanu Lemma Robe] for which commodity food prices increased or higher? [2022-07-27 10:04:34] [Shahena Parvin] Thanks! [2022-07-27 10:05:04] [Michael Saltz] Reminder to upvote questions you want to see answered in the Q&A! [2022-07-27 10:07:52] [Ousmane] 20204 was a typo. Should be 2024. [2022-07-27 10:08:41] [Willy Valdivia] Thank you for the interesting presentations. In these estimations, are you considering the impact of price changes and how this can affect internal conflict that can increase the deterioration of projected poverty? [2022-07-27 10:15:02] [Michael Saltz] explore the data on your own here: https://africafertilizerwatch.org/#/en [2022-07-27 10:15:39] [Michael Saltz] Hi @Willy. Please direct your questions to the Q&A box. Thanks! [2022-07-27 10:17:52] [Michael Saltz] iSDA SoilGrids maps https://www.isda-africa.com/isdasoil/ [2022-07-27 10:26:41] [Benjamin Kohl] https://smil.k-state.edu/usaidimpact/ [2022-07-27 10:34:24] [Esrael Woldeeyesus ] Thanks, James! [2022-07-27 10:36:21] [Albin Hubscher] Thanks for excellent presentations. [2022-07-27 10:37:48] [Max Gerald Guillaume ] Thanks for sharing this interesting information. Connecting from Dominican Republic [2022-07-27 10:37:55] [Albin Hubscher] Fotr James, do you expect that the drought in the US and Europe will lead to less grain export and further challenge food security elsewhere? [2022-07-27 10:39:36] [Dunstan Kaburu ] was not able to follow very well. please share a wrte up. dankaburu@gmail.com [2022-07-27 10:41:17] [Felix Atamba] Hello Felix Atamba, from Farmscape KE [2022-07-27 10:41:27] [Nay Myo] @Ousmane, Upendra and James, many thanks for your discussions on climate change impacts on food security. [2022-07-27 10:44:29] [Dunstan Kaburu ] πŸ‘ πŸ‘ πŸ‘ [2022-07-27 10:44:29] [Dunstan Kaburu ] πŸ‘ πŸ‘ πŸ‘ [2022-07-27 10:48:43] [Tsitsi Makombe] You can read more about the work that Dr. Ousmane Badiane presented and more to come here:https://akademiya2063.org/publications.php [2022-07-27 10:58:08] [Spencer Ogot] Congratulations! [2022-07-27 10:58:39] [Yomif Worku] great presentation!! Thanks!!! [2022-07-27 10:58:40] [Dr Faheem Abbasi] Thank you so much. Excellent presentations [2022-07-27 11:00:44] [Anwar Mohmmed Alsharif ] πŸ‘ πŸ‘ πŸ‘ [2022-07-27 11:00:50] [NANA ADWOA KONADU] Thhanks so much for the response and link shared James.Inetresting analysis [2022-07-27 11:00:58] [Hannah Ichingwa] πŸ‘ πŸ‘ πŸ‘ [2022-07-27 11:00:58] [Antoinette Sallah] Great work team! [2022-07-27 11:01:02] [Anwar Mohmmed Alsharif ] many thanks [2022-07-27 11:01:02] [Francis Laurent Makusaro] Francis Makusaro from Tanzania, thank you for great insight presentation [2022-07-27 11:01:03] [Michael Saltz] Thanks to all for joining! [2022-07-27 11:01:10] [Hannah Ichingwa] πŸ‘ πŸ‘ πŸ‘ [2022-07-27 11:01:20] [Tsitsi Makombe] Many thanks for a great webinar! [2022-07-27 11:01:21] [Benjamin Kohl] Thank you! Merci beaucoup! [2022-07-27 11:01:22] [Njogu Timothy kagombe ] Thanks everyone. [2022-07-27 11:01:25] [Njogu Timothy kagombe ] Thanks everyone. [2022-07-27 11:01:30] [Carolina Bastos] Thanks vry much [2022-07-27 11:01:38] [Spencer Ogot] thanks again [2022-07-27 11:01:40] [Njogu Timothy kagombe ] Thanks everyone [2022-07-27 11:01:43] [Moctar Kante] thank you [2022-07-27 11:01:54] [Lwalinda Isaiah] Thanks very much [2022-07-27 11:02:04] [Njogu Timothy kagombe ] πŸ‘ πŸ‘ πŸ‘ [2022-07-27 11:02:09] [Max Gerald Guillaume ] such wonderful! [2022-07-27 11:02:31] [Jenny Smart] IFPRI's food prices spotlight page can also be found here: https://www.ifpri.org/spotlight/food-prices-war-ukraine [2022-07-27 11:03:02] [Mogaka Hezron] Thanks [2022-07-27 11:04:49] [Oma Roberts] Thank you very good presentation [2022-07-27 11:04:50] [Oma Roberts] Thank you very good presentation -----------------------------------------------